Saturday, December 27, 2008
Slumping, Big Time
Wednesday, December 17, 2008
PokerStars World Blogger Championship of Online Poker

I have registered to play in the PokerStars World Blogger Championship of Online Poker!
This PokerStars tournament is a No Limit Texas Hold’em event exclusive to Bloggers.
Registration code:
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346575
A Tourney For Bloggers?
My play lately has been very erratic. I am taking way too many chances trying to get lucky and double up. Specifically, I have been playing way too much in early position. I think I'm calling more and playing more hands out of boredom. In fact, when I infrequently enter a $1 tournament, I find myself not being nearly as disciplined as I used to be. It has also been about six months since I read a book about poker, so I don't think I'm playing very sharply at all. To compound the problem, I tend to play at night when I'm most tired. Bad idea. My balance now stands at $45.08. I realize this is a 50% gain on my total investment, but given the fact that I was up to $90 a few months ago, it feels more like a 50% loss.
Anyway, I hope I manage to get into the World Blogger Championship of Online Poker!
Saturday, October 25, 2008
Bad News, Good News, BIG WIN!!
1st Place out of 3,620 for $67.50!
Of course the good news is my big win. The bad news is that I went broke last night and needed to play a freeroll to get back to having enough bankroll to buy in for $1. Now I'm up to $68.41, an all-time high in this experiment.
I must be extremely careful. Three months ago, my bankroll was above $60, and just two weeks later it was down to $30. I really need to protect myself.
I've played nearly 11 months on my 3rd and final $10 buy-in. I had to resort to FFP freerolls twice to resume play, but I am still at it. I still feel like I need a big tournament win to propel this thing. I'm getting way better at the cash game, but to play well requires concentration, and too often I'm in a cash game and multi-tasking. Enough rambling...
I'm back!
Sunday, September 28, 2008
No Graphics This Time!
According to my records, it looks like I was at about $22.00 when my computer crashed. Now I'm playing on Seth's PC; he and his laptop are at UC.
My plan was to get my bankroll to around $50 and then concentrate on the $1.00 huge tournaments. That is pretty much what happened, but with no significant wins, my bankroll began to melt. Careless play and bad luck followed, and I actually went to under $20 at one point. I implemented an emergency scheme to buy in for only $1 until my bankroll got back up to $30, which I stuck to all the way up to $39. The scheme also called for me to leave the table immediately after a $0.50 profit, which I did not follow all of the time. In fact, once over $30, I made a couple of huge wins, always certain to abide by Ferguson's 10% rule which I've never violated. Today I stand at $34.91 after being up to $39 last night and staying up too late. Except for last night, I am generally pleased with my bedtime.......in bed by 11:00 was the third and final rule of the emergency scheme. Violating it last night did cost me some dough. Maybe balancing a few tournaments a week with the regular ring games is the better option.... I just realize that I'll probably need a huge win to leverage my bankroll and the more big tourneys I play the better chance I'll have to do it.
I'm up about $12 in two weeks, so I might continue to buy in for only $1 for a while; it certainly minimizes my risk, and I think it might make me more careful to not risk too much of the dollar too early. An interesting note, I've always decided to buy in to the tables with the highest possible average pots since the $1 scheme began. I actually like that environment better because it more closely resembles live play at the casino, and it has more promise of bigger wins.
Monday, September 1, 2008
One Year In....

I have learned a lot during this experiment. One important thing I learned is that I spent too much time playing poker at the computer. I learned a lot more, too; maybe as much about how to approach this experiment as how to play poker. Nothing has helped my poker over the past year more than reading Harrington. In the Spring I read and completed the Tournament Workbook - very revealing about my play - and early summer I devoured his Cash Games books.
As Ferguson's bankroll rules imply, much of poker is discipline. In future posts I'll outline what I think I've learned about discipline and how I should approach this experiment - sort of a list of Do's and Don't's and other considerations regarding this pursuit. For now, I'm logging off while it is still a decent hour to spend time with Mai before bedtime. She convinced me to accept the challenge of a running Monopoly game, which we will start tonight and play a little at a time.
Saturday, August 2, 2008
Went to the Boat!

Monday, July 28, 2008
In the Right Direction
I'm pretty happy with how things are going here with one exception: I'm missing too much sleep. My constant struggle is Determination v. Proper Rest. Playing when everyone is in bed is the best time of day to play - no distractions - but the obvious consequences are frustrating. I simply must figure a way to reconcile my appetite for growth with my need for proper rest. As stated before, switching over to huge tournaments once in a while rather than daily cash game play might work, but how often am I available for a 6:00 or 7:00 pm game that lasts 5-6 hours to win, and with minimal distractions or conflicts? Perhaps I need to find the answer and accept playing a lot less.
Monday, July 21, 2008
Bankroll Stays Above $30 for Over 3 Weeks

On the face of it, the fact that I'm happy about a headline like this seems rather sad. However, my next longest previous stint above $30 went only about 2 weeks. I've invested $30 since last September, and I now stand at $46.67. I've played on $10 for nearly 8 months, and once during that time my total bankroll was a mere dime. So I suppose you could say that since September 3, 2007 I've added 55% to my $30 investments. I'm still not very good at the ring games, but I'm at least treading water. I'd like to get the bankroll back above $50 and keep it there a while. I think $50 is a big enough bankroll that I can begin to enter some really big multi-thousand player tournaments for a dollar buy-in. As I've said before, and demonstrated in my recent comeback from being way under a dollar, winning a few really big tournaments is what will propel me toward my goal. Maybe once I get above $50 I'll begin to play in one or two of these tournaments per week. In the meantime, I think my ring game play is becoming a little better and beginning to show a little more consistency. If I can play the ring games well enough to keep the bankroll above $50, I'll have enough cushion to enter some really big $1 tournaments.
Monday, June 30, 2008
Back in Business!
Saturday, June 28, 2008
Big Win Gives New Start! Bankroll Goes from $0.71 to $42.21
Sunday, June 22, 2008
Back at it Again
In the meantime, I've been doing some reading. I read Harrington's Tournament Vol. III earlier this spring, and recently finished his Cash Games Vol. I. I started Cash Games Vol. II today. I'm pretty sure Vol. I won me $85 at Fortune Bay Casino in Minnesota this month. I really understand the difference between Tournament play and Cash play much better now. I hope Action Dan comes out with Vol. III for Cash Games. I found the workbook results very revealing.
Saturday, April 12, 2008
Still not much to celebrate

Sunday, March 30, 2008
Readership Increases!
In a few short days, I will have been playing for 4 months on the same $10 buy-in from Dec. 3. Honestly, for me this is quite a milestone, especially considering the absurd number of hands played since then....I'd rather not count them. In that sense, it has turned around my game from an obviously losing one, to one that is at least not losing. So far I am not a winning online player. The longer this experiment goes on, the stronger my resolve grows. I can now hope that if I can go from a losing player - buying in a few times a month - to a player who can at least play within a bankroll for several months without going broke, that there is some reason to expect that I might continue to improve, catch a few tournament wins, and test myself at the next higher limits.
I have shown that I can grind at the cash tables for long periods of time without going completely broke, but that also demonstrates that it won't make me rich at my current level of play. Either through grinding or several tournaments pay-outs, I need to grow the bankroll to the point where I can afford a tournament buy-in that will pay big. (Or several tournament wins at the lower limits.) I have always been a better tournament player than ring game player. I intend to stay with this experiment, and I'll know after one year whether I have any hope to reach $10,000. If I am still at $10 after one year, I just may not have what it takes to get there. On the other hand, if I continue to improve and I'm up to $100 or $200 by then, there may be hope to continue.
If you are interested in getting a handle on your bankroll, or tired of constantly buying in every few weeks, or want to improve your play and are not too proud to prove yourself at the .01/.02 tables, this experiment is for you. I don't think I've posted this article, Starting from Zero yet, but it is dated April 30, 2007 when Chris Ferguson was about a year into his project. He was still at the lowest limits then, but within 6 or 7 months he was to $10,000.
I am no Chris Ferguson, but I can't wait to see where my bankroll will be on September 3, one year into my experiment. By the way, if you run into Chris Ferguson, I'd love to hear what he thinks about my experiment. I'm always open to advice from the pros.
NBCT99
Saturday, March 29, 2008
Gettin' Stuck

Tuesday, March 18, 2008
Monday, March 17, 2008
The Rest of the Story....
Qh came on the turn to complete my flush, and to make the victory more complete the 9d came on the river to complete the counterfeited straight. (I was really only focused on hitting the flush or even the straight flush.)
After going through the hand with Poker Tracker I found out that PokerStars provides the value of the opponents' mucked losing calling hand. Seat 6 had raised it up to .52 with pocket 7's before the flop, and was eager to call my all-in move after flopping trips! I did beat him two ways, looking back at it, but according to Poker Stove, I was about a 3-2 dog after the flop. If I input the hand correctly, Poker Stove is telling me that after the flop I was about a 38% chance to win and Seat 6 was about 60%. I don't know what Ted folded after I went all-in and got called. Maybe he was playing AK. In this analysis, it appears that I was an underdog and might have made an incorrect play.
I just could not get away from this hand, and I could not imagine forcing myself to make a difficult decision later in the hand, or worse, two difficult decisions that might slowly bust me. I was sticking with the hand for better or for worse, and I didn't mind getting it all in right then and there. After all, someone might fold, and I did not mind enlarging the pot with so many outs.
What about implied odds? There was already $1.80 in the pot. If I put in $1.92 after the flop and both players could call (which is basically the case as I had seat 6 covered to within just a few cents), didn't I create a scenerio of implied odds offering me more than 3-1 on my money if both players called? If both players called $1.92, the pot would be $7.56, laying me odds of 4-1. If so, I'd need a 25% chance to win the hand to break even. As it turns out, I was about a 38% chance against Seat 6, and apparently better than that against Tedward since he folded. Of course I didn't know that at the time, but it appears in this analysis I made the correct play. I would like to have known this at the time, but as I said before, my gut was telling me that this was the only play.
What do you think of my analysis?
I went on to play another buy-in or two and finished Monday night (now pronounced Money night) at $9.11. If I had lost that hand, I'd be at $2.52 and steaming. Looking back, I'm not sure whether I'd have had the sense to get away from the computer. I might have busted out twice and gotten below the minimum buy-in.
For now, I'm still alive.
Finally, A Hand Worth Writing About
Perhaps what makes this hand all the more interesting are the following factors:
1. When I bought in, my entire bankroll was $3.52. I was in no position to take unnecessary risks if this experiment was to continue.
2. When the hand was dealt, I had reached the point that it was time to wait for the blinds and leave the table; I was up quite considerably - $2.44 on the table after a $1 buy-in. In fact, I had decided ahead of time to leave immediately after a big win so as not to have to wait for the blinds (putting my stack at risk by being available.) This in itself could be the subject of a post, and had I tracked my performance while waiting for the blinds, I suspect I'd find that I've lost a ridiculous amount of money in the hopes that I'd double an already doubled stack while waiting for the blinds to reach me. I've risked and lost a ton of money doing this. When you hit one or two big a hands in this position it is sweet, exactly because under Ferguson's rules it is so rare to triple up, quadruple up, or more with one buy-in. It is just so tempting to stay. In fact, I decided to stay and wait for the blinds in case a monster hand came.
3. I was seat 5, Tedward was seat 7. He and I had been winning each other's chips and it was getting a little personal.
4. The hand itself and the way it unfolded. I was dealt a suited gapper - 10-8h. I can't wait to have Poker Traker show me how much I've lost with the middle suited gapper. It will be a lot. I can't seem to fold this hand preflop. Anyway, there I was with my 10-8h and I call the .02 blind, and Tedward makes it .12 to go (and has me covered with over $3 in chips.) I roll my eyes thinking I should never have called the blind with a speculative hand with no margin in my bankroll. Take the money and run, don't lose a dime of it now. But, as it was, I called the .10 raise. Seat 6 between me and Tedward raises it .40 to .52. Ted and I call to make the pot over $1.80 and to the flop which came 6h-8s-7h. Holy cow - high pair, a flush draw, an inside straight draw, not to mention a back door straight flush draw. How can I get away from this? My big worry was a higher pair - someone raising it up pre-flop with 10's or J's.
$1.80 in the pot and $1.92 in front of me. After the flop I was first to act. My heart was pumping, my mouth was watering, my gut was telling me to get my chips into the middle NOW. Remember Harrington's first-in vigorish? I was feeling it. I didn't know any other way to play it, except to put my chips in. I couldn't calculate the odds fast enough, and the timer was warning me to play.
How would you play it? Surely someone would bet out if I didn't, and then another decision on a slippery slope. My gut said shove it in. Before I put it into Poker Stove and compute the odds, how would you have played this hand post-flop?
Stay tuned for my decision, along with the results of Poker Stove and how the hand ultimately turned out....
Monday Night Poker
First of all, I suck at poker. I guess that's why I'm doing this.
Now that that's out of the way, check out my latest revelation. I suck a lot less on Monday nights. How much less? Looking back to Jan. 1 (the same period of time in which I gave up $27 on Fridays), I have made $33.92 on Mondays. Not surprisingly, I spend much less time playing on Mondays. The three days I play the most I am way down; the three days I play least I am way up.
Less is more.
Now I need to figure out what to do on Friday nights. Wanna go play poker?
Saturday, March 15, 2008
It Don't Take No Software to Tell You Everything....
After a frustrating Friday night losing about $7, I became curious about my Friday night play. On or around December 1, prior to my blogging days, well into this experiment, I had played an enourmous number of hands in November because I was basically too sick to do anything else. I played a huge amount on the weekends, where a quick analysis revealed I had lost $45 on Saturdays and Sundays since the beginning of my experiment.
With this in mind after my dismal Friday night performance of marathon play, I became curious if my Friday nights were costing me money. In fact, going back to Jan. 1, my Friday night play has lost me $27. With my bankroll currently under $10, it is cause for reflection. I can remember thinking last night how tired and grumpy I was - I was short on sleep all week. But, Friday night was my night to vegg out, eat pizza, and play poker. I should have gone to bed rather than play so much. Duh. I wonder if that will show up in Poker Tracker!
Thursday, March 13, 2008
Jesus Speaks (Red Letter Edition)
Monday, March 10, 2008
Am I Serious? PokerTracker v3.0 beta 6?
I made the leap and got a statistical program for analyzing my hand histories. Lucky for me, the beta version was out for free. Now, I need to become familiar with it enough to make it useful. Anonymous, if you are out there, I'm ready for the tutorial. I can see that it is a truly amazing program that can tell virtually everything about one's play, as well as the opponents' play against you, and hopefully it will reveal holes in my play I can profit from fixing.
Today's title alludes to whether I'm really serious about making money at this, or just playing to play. Unfortunately, too often I'm playing just to play. Ironically, I seem to know exactly how to play, but I don't have the discipline or patience to follow through and do it.
Sort of a metaphor for the human condition, isn't it?
I'm really disappointed in my loosening play. The good news is that I'm not going broke and re-buying. In that sense, this exercise has improved my level of play. In fact, an analysis of my records shows that in the two months prior to this experiment, I deposited $60 (in $10 increments) to PokerStars. That means online poker (at that time) was costing me $30 per month; I have only deposited $30 in the last six months, and I have not made any deposits at all for three months. I suppose I should be happy about the $10,000 challenge to the extent that it seems to have saved me a lot of money and delivered on one of its promises: to escape the non-stop deposits to my PokerStars account. (I prefer not to discuss the significantly higher amounts of my several 2006 deposits. It kind of scares me to think about the kind of money I was using to play so "recreationally." I know that that same money would be worth a lot more if it were in my PokerStars account now. Tempting, isn't it, to just load up the online account and start with real bankroll? But I don't deserve it yet. For me, it must be earned.)
The fact remains that I am under $20, and only now (as in the last two days), seeming to take it seriously again. I have become too willing lately to take chances - playing desperate rather than smart; wanting to win fast instead of playing correctly.
It's funny how I always sit down for a very short blog that turns out to be an hour-long analysis of my play.
I'm not sure whether to celebrate going three months without a buy-in, or to berate myself for squandering 80% of my $50 high mark. April 2 will mark the end of the first six months of the challenge. Stay tuned.
Monday, March 3, 2008
Hand Analysis

Saturday, March 1, 2008
Chris Ferguson Update

Tuesday, February 26, 2008
No News is Bad News

Sunday, February 17, 2008
Boy, I Needed That!

Maybe I'll try more 45 player tourneys; when my bankroll was smaller, it didn't seem to make sense. I'm ready to give it a try more often. Maybe some time away from the ring games will do me some good. I'm happy to have figured out how to include my dates on the graph; I'd been working on that for a while.
Wednesday, February 13, 2008
Benchmark!
I was determined to not have a 4th buy-in, so played the FFP freerolls to get back up to minimum buy-in range. Here are some more recent entries from this week...

Yes, on one hand it is quite an accomplishment. But I have so far to go. Or do I? I have grown my bankroll by a factor of 97 since December 7. If I can repeat this feat in the same amount of time, I would be almost half way to my goal ($4,985.80) by April. It is true that as my bankroll (and therefore buy-in) increases, my rate of changes increases much faster.
One other thing to consider....the level of play. I am still at the .01/.02 tables. Perhaps when I move up in the limits I will meet with resistance from superior players. But after all, poker is poker, right?
The longer I'm at this, the more convinced I am that I will make it to $10,000. It's good to be naive!
Tuesday, February 12, 2008
Monday, February 11, 2008
Sunday, February 10, 2008
The Long, Boring Slog...
Sunday, February 3, 2008
What does tilt look like?


I'm pretty sure that I got so excited about this experiment that I actually went a little overboard and played way too much. Synonymous' post expressing concern about 3:00 a.m. posts says a lot. Poker fans, I've run up a sleep deficit. Now I'm actually achey and sick.
The remedy? I'm going to bed by 11:00 5 nights per week in February. (Don't larugh, I know it is nearly midnight - I'm cleaining up after a Super Bowl party.) As for poker, less is more. I'll be playing fewer sessions, and probably just about everyday, but I expect the quality of my play to improve as I get proper rest. I have not been rested lately, and I plan to become more effective in my all my various roles. I've also vowed not to get too greedy in February.
Thanks for checking in....You can check back here to see what impact proper rest has on poker.
By the way, if you are reading this, shouldn't you take the $10 to $10,000 Challenge?
If you see Chris Ferguson, let him know how I'm doing.
Wednesday, January 30, 2008
The Bigger Picture
Synomous left an interesting comment about multi-table playing and stats. I agree 100%, and that is one of the reasons I like to stick to one cash table at a time. I much prefer to enter my stats into the spreadsheet one table buy-in at a time. 99% of my data is taken this way, the only exception I can think of was "I Got Stupid." For each buy-in, I track the date, amount of buy in, number of hands dealt, cash out amount, plus or minus amount for the buy-in, and total bankroll. For many buy-ins, I also note the % of hands played. When in tournaments (which I have barely played since January 1) I also track the same information as above plus the amount of T$. T$ is prize money won in a satellite which you can use to buy in to a later event. I actually got the idea to do this from a player I met at a cash table last fall who was also doing the Chris Ferguson challenge. Now I regret not writing down his name; maybe I actually did and forgot about it. I'd like to check in with him now. I'm not sure how Chris Ferguson dealt with satellites, but before January, I would enter a $2.20 satellite for the Sunday 100 Grand Tourney (at :25 past each hour) where 20% of the field will be credited $11 worth of T$ as a token for a satellite entry into the Sunday 100 Grand. Or you can use the 11$ T$ for entry fees to sit & go tourneys (or any other tourney for that matter.) At any rate, it is fairly easy to break the top 20% of a field and be credited the $11 T$. I'm considering using a bunch of this T$ to finance WSOP satellites this spring. As of now, I have no T$, and when I do, I don't count it as part of my bankroll.
Back to the charts you see. The one above shows my daily bankroll beginning September 3 when I deposited $10 to my account which had $0.21 in it at the time. You can easily see the points at which I needed to re-load. I can also generate one from the same time frame that shows my bankroll after each and every buy-in.
So far, the only charts I've revealed are my daily bankroll totals, and only since my re-evalutation of my approach around New Year's. These numbers indicate my total bankroll when I log off each night. I also track my bankroll after each buy-in. Tonight, for example, I had six buy-ins, always playing only one table at a time. I only lost my total buy-in once out of six times tonight, which is better than my average.
Monday, January 28, 2008
I Got Stupid!
Sunday, January 27, 2008
Almost $50!

Thursday, January 24, 2008
By Popular Demand....
Alright, poker fans, here is the list I came up with on Dec. 31. I needed a style of play that would eliminate the drastic swings of my bankroll. I needed steady, consistent growth, even if it would be slow. This is the list of guidelines I developed within the framework of the Chris Ferguson Rules. Check out my progress since that day at the top of the page.
Wednesday, January 16, 2008
Progress Since January 3
On January 3 I looked at my bankroll that was nearly depleted for the third time and began to investigate what had gone wrong. I made a chart of my daily bankroll from the beginning date September 3, 2007 to January 3, 2008. The chart revealed a roller coaster of high peaks and deep valleys in my bankroll. How could I go about changing my play to ensure a chart that would show a slow, steady, upward growth? How would I have to play differently within Ferguson's rules to see the results I wanted? I was determined to figure out how to do it, so I made an additional list of guidelines to follow, beginning January 3. So far, after nearly two weeks, I have managed to get the shape of graph I'm after. In fact, I was hoping for $0.30-0.50 profit per day and to end January with $18-20. I have actually averaged about $1.55 per day and have already exceeded $20 in the first half of January.
Do you want the set of rules I used to multiply my bankroll by nearly 10 in less than two weeks? Stay tuned....
0 to $10,000 Update
Check me out - I'm NBCT99 at Pokerstars.
Tuesday, January 8, 2008
Chris Ferguson's Bankroll Management Challenge
Chris took one dollar and grew his bankroll to $20,000. Then, he started with $0 and played freerolls until he could afford money tables, and grew his online bankroll to over $10,000! He did this by following 3 basic rules. Read his rules for bankroll management here http://www.fulltiltpoker.com/pro-tips-archive.php?player=Chris%20Ferguson&tip=100
Since I am only an amateur poker player, I have decided to give myself a head start. I decided to start with a $10 deposit online and follow these rules and with solid play, make it to $10,000!
I started in September 2007. Got up to about $20 within a few weeks, but a month later my balance was below $1 and I could no longer buy into a cash game. I re-loaded another $10 on October 6 and grew my account to over $53. This re-load lasted about seven weeks until I went below $1 again in early December. Never, ever give up!
Third time is a charm: on December 4 I decided to re-load a second time and try it again. One month later I am at $18.08 and I am confident I will not have to re-load again.
Tonight I finished 110 out of 2,665 in a $1.10 Tournament and won $3.47.
Follow me as I make it all the way to $10,000!!